Hopes that the Bank of England would significantly lower interest rates in 2025, leading to cheaper mortgages, now seem less likely, thanks to global bond market sell-offs and Labour’s Budget leading to a surge in borrowing costs. These factors have unsettled debt markets and contributed to higher interest rate expectations. As a result, borrowers face a more uncertain outlook.
As a reminder, the Bank of England opted to hold Bank Rate at 4.75% in December. However, since then, a sharp increase in UK government bond (gilt) yields has pressured rates. Market predictions suggest Bank Rate could fall to 4% by the end of 2025, with some analysts anticipating cuts to as low as 2.75%. However, the volatility in the bond market makes those predictions look optimistic.
With bond market volatility set to continue, borrowers should seek professional financial advice before making any decisions. A financial adviser can help navigate the complexities of rate changes and determine whether to fix a mortgage deal or wait for lower rates in future.
10 March, 2025
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